Wednesday, August 27, 2008

Presidential Predictions on Univ. of Iowa Futures Market

Courtesy of Iowa's Futures Market Website -- See Link

Here's another futures market where market participants can try and predict the outcome of the Presidential Election this fall. Red line is for the elephants, blue line is for the "donkeys". The time horizon is from 2006 to present (Aug. 2008)

It seems that lately, the red line is trending higher, and the blue line is trending lower, consistent with the futures prediction on Intrade's market (

Link to Presidential Market at University of Iowa